The 2022 California gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of California, with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022.[1] Incumbent Democratic Party Governor Gavin Newsom was re-elected to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021, during his first term.

The elections featured universal mail-in ballots; in-person voting was also available.[2] All statewide elected offices are currently held by Democrats. Newsom won 61.9% of the vote in both the 2018 gubernatorial election and the 2021 recall election. He received 55.9% of the top-two primary vote and faced Republican Party state senator Brian Dahle, who received 17.7% of the primary vote, in the general election.[3]

Newsom received 59.2% of the vote to Dahle's 40.8%, a smaller margin of victory than in 2018 and the first time the Democratic candidate failed to win 60% of the vote since 2010. Dahle flipped five counties that Newsom carried in 2018, namely Lake, Merced (although Merced voted to recall Newsom), Orange, San Bernardino, and San Joaquin. Dahle received 32% of the vote in Los Angeles County, the highest percentage received by a Republican in the state's most populous county since 2014.[4] Dahle also managed to carry two congressional districts represented by Democrats (CA-09 and CA-47). This election marks the fourth consecutive California gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Anthony Fanara, restaurant owner[6]
  • Armando Perez-Serrato, businessman and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
  • Joel Ventresca, former Service Employees International Union committee member, retired airport analyst and perennial candidate[a][6]

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Ronald A. Anderson, contractor and businessman[6]
  • Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in)[8]
  • Shawn Collins, U.S. Navy veteran and attorney[9]
  • Ron Jones, former police officer[6]
  • Jenny Rae Le Roux, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
  • David Lozano, attorney and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
  • Daniel R. Mercuri, businessman, candidate in the 2021 recall election and for California's 25th congressional district in 2020[6]
  • Cristian Raul Morales, manufacturing executive[6]
  • Robert C. Newman, psychologist and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
  • Lonnie Sortor, business owner[6]
  • Anthony Trimino, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election[10]
  • Major Williams, entrepreneur and write-in candidate in the 2021 recall election[11]
  • Leo S. Zacky, businessman, broadcaster, and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]

Declined

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

American Independent Party

Eliminated in primary

  • Jeff Scott (write-in)[8]

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Brian Dahle (R)
James G. Hanink (NPP)
Political Parties
Individuals
Luis J. Rodriguez (G)
Newspapers and other media
  • People's Tribune[40]
  • Tribuno del Pueblo[41]
Organizations
Michael Shellenberger (NPP)
Organizations
Individuals

Primary election

The list of candidates was announced on Mar 31, 2022 by the secretary of state.[49]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
(R) Ronald Anderson
(G) Heather Collins
(R) Shawn Collins
(R) Brian Dahle
(D) Anthony Fanara
(I) Serge Fiankan
(I) James Hanink
(R) Ron Jones
(R) Jenny Rae Le Roux
(R) David Lozano
(R) Daniel Mercuri
(R) Cristian Raul Morales
(R) Robert Newman II
(D) Gavin Newsom
(D) Armando Perez-Serrato
(G) Luis Javier Rodriguez
(I) Woodrow Sanders III
(I) Frederic Schultz
(I) Reinette Senum
(I) Michael Shellenberger
(R) Lonnie Sortor
(R) Anthony Trimino
(D) Joel Ventresca
(R) Major Williams
(R) Leo Zacky
(I) Bradley Zink
Undecided
Berkeley IGSMay 24–31, 20223,438 (LV)± 2.2%1%0%3%10%1%0%0%1%2%1%1%0%1%50%1%1%0%0%0%5%0%3%1%2%1%0%16%
SurveyUSAMay 13–15, 2022709 (LV)± 4.5%7%2%5%7%5%0%0%2%1%2%1%1%1%40%1%0%0%0%0%2%1%1%1%1%1%0%18%

Results

Results by county
  Newsom
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Dahle
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Primary results[50]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticGavin Newsom (incumbent) 3,945,728 55.9
RepublicanBrian Dahle 1,252,800 17.7
No party preferenceMichael Shellenberger290,2864.1
RepublicanJenny Rae Le Roux246,6653.5
RepublicanAnthony Trimino246,3223.5
RepublicanShawn Collins173,0832.5
GreenLuis J. Rodriguez124,6721.8
RepublicanLeo S. Zacky94,5211.3
RepublicanMajor Williams92,5801.3
RepublicanRobert C. Newman II82,8491.2
DemocraticJoel Ventresca66,8850.9
RepublicanDavid Lozano66,5420.9
RepublicanRonald A. Anderson53,5540.8
No party preferenceReinette Senum53,0150.8
DemocraticArmando Perez-Serrato45,4740.6
RepublicanRon Jones38,3370.5
RepublicanDaniel R. Mercuri36,3960.5
GreenHeather Collins29,6900.4
DemocraticAnthony Fanara25,0860.4
RepublicanCristian Raul Morales22,3040.3
RepublicanLonnie Sortor21,0440.3
No party preferenceFrederic C. Schultz17,5020.2
No party preferenceWoodrow Sanders III16,2040.2
No party preferenceJames G. Hanink10,1100.1
No party preferenceSerge Fiankan6,2010.1
No party preferenceBradley Zink5,9970.1
American IndependentJeff Scott (write-in)130.0
RepublicanGurinder Bhangoo (write-in)80.0
Total votes7,063,868 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[51]Solid DOctober 26, 2022
Inside Elections[52]Solid DNovember 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53]Safe DNovember 7, 2022
Politico[54]Solid DApril 1, 2022
RCP[55]Safe DJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News[56]Solid DMay 12, 2022
538[57]Solid DNovember 8, 2022
Elections Daily[58]Safe DNovember 7, 2022

Debates

Governor Gavin Newsom and State Senator Brian Dahle met on October 23 for their only debate.[59]

2022 California gubernatorial debate
No.DateHostModeratorsLinkParticipants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Gavin NewsomBrian Dahle
1October 23, 2022KQEDScott Shafer
Marisa Lagos
YouTubePP

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Brian
Dahle (R)
Other
[c]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsSeptember 22 – October 23, 2022November 3, 202255.0%34.3%10.7%Newsom +20.7
FiveThirtyEightSeptember 2 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202259.6%38.7%1.7%Newsom +20.9
270ToWinOctober 27 – November 7, 2022November 8, 202257.4%37.0%5.6%Newsom +20.4
Average57.3%36.7%6.0%Newsom +20.6
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Brian
Dahle (R)
OtherUndecided
Research Co.November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%56%37%7%
USCOctober 30 – November 2, 2022802 (RV)± 3.5%62%38%
UC BerkeleyOctober 25–31, 20225,972 (LV)± 2.0%58%37%4%
ActiVoteJuly 29 – October 27, 2022200 (LV)± 7.0%61%39%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaOctober 14–23, 20221,060 (LV)± 5.4%55%36%4%[d]5%
SurveyUSAOctober 7–10, 20221,013 (LV)± 4.4%57%35%8%
UC BerkeleySeptember 22–27, 20226,939 (LV)± 2.5%53%32%2%[e]13%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaSeptember 2–11, 20221,060 (LV)± 5.4%58%31%5%[f]7%
UC BerkeleyAugust 9–15, 20229,254 (RV)± 2.0%52%25%4%19%
6,321 (LV)± 2.4%55%31%3%11%
Hypothetical polling
Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Kevin
Faulconer (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGSAugust 30 – September 6, 20219,809 (RV)± 2.3%49%27%24%
Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
John
Cox (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGSAugust 30 – September 6, 20219,809 (RV)± 2.3%51%26%23%
Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Larry
Elder (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGSAugust 30 – September 6, 20219,809 (RV)± 2.3%52%30%18%
Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Kevin
Kiley (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGSAugust 30 – September 6, 20219,809 (RV)± 2.3%50%25%25%

Results

2022 California gubernatorial election[60][61]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticGavin Newsom (incumbent) 6,470,104 59.18% −2.77
RepublicanBrian Dahle4,462,91440.82%+2.77
Total votes10,933,018 100.00% N/A
Turnout10,933,01850.80%−12.48
Registered electors21,940,274
Democratic hold

By county

By county
CountyGavin Newsom
Democratic
Brian Dahle
Republican
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%
Alameda387,04679.32100,92320.68286,12358.64487,969
Alpine36358.6425641.3610717.29619
Amador6,02732.3112,62867.69-6,601-35.3818,655
Butte31,50243.4940,93956.51-9,437-13.0372,441
Calaveras7,10333.4414,13766.56-7,034-33.1221,240
Colusa1,55327.924,00972.08-2,456-44.165,562
Contra Costa265,37168.31123,13231.69142,23936.61388,503
Del Norte3,26438.975,11161.03-1,847-22.058,375
El Dorado34,53438.9554,13761.05-19,603-22.1188,671
Fresno98,41744.92120,66855.08-22,251-10.16219,085
Glenn1,93024.346,00075.66-4,070-51.327,930
Humboldt29,54161.8018,25738.2011,28423.6147,798
Imperial16,71155.9513,15844.053,55311.9029,869
Inyo3,38245.234,09554.77-713-9.547,477
Kern69,70136.94119,00263.06-49,301-26.13188,703
Kings9,38934.8917,52365.11-8,134-30.2226,912
Lake9,77148.5410,36051.46-589-2.9320,131
Lassen1,44415.757,72684.25-6,282-68.519,170
Los Angeles1,620,05367.81769,17432.19850,87935.612,389,227
Madera13,28335.9423,67864.06-10,395-28.1236,961
Marin95,28980.0323,77519.9771,51460.06119,064
Mariposa2,94437.554,89662.45-1,952-24.907,840
Mendocino19,03162.6111,36337.397,66825.2330,394
Merced25,20045.5930,07354.41-4,873-8.8255,273
Modoc68720.132,72579.87-2,038-59.733,412
Mono2,49354.562,07645.444179.134,569
Monterey65,26263.9036,86736.1028,39527.80102,129
Napa32,43764.7317,67135.2714,76629.4750,108
Nevada26,65552.5424,08247.462,5735.0750,737
Orange464,20648.51492,73451.49-28,528-2.98956,940
Placer73,61940.43108,45059.57-34,831-19.13182,069
Plumas3,08335.715,55064.29-2,467-28.588,633
Riverside285,00047.83310,90152.17-25,901-4.35595,901
Sacramento274,68057.51202,93342.4971,74715.02477,613
San Benito10,42853.269,15046.741,2786.5319,578
San Bernardino215,39147.39239,10952.61-23,718-5.22454,500
San Diego574,12155.78455,10744.22119,01411.561,029,228
San Francisco257,40285.3844,06414.62213,33870.77301,466
San Joaquin85,49848.2291,82751.78-6,329-3.57177,325
San Luis Obispo61,16651.1358,46448.872,7022.26119,630
San Mateo185,59974.9861,91825.02123,68149.97247,517
Santa Barbara80,64859.5754,72640.4325,92219.15135,374
Santa Clara379,37770.01162,51829.99216,85940.02541,895
Santa Cruz79,11775.9525,05224.0554,06551.90104,169
Shasta18,60727.1649,91372.84-31,306-45.6968,520
Sierra52934.281,01465.72-485-31.431,543
Siskiyou6,32635.6911,39764.31-5,071-28.6117,723
Solano77,76959.5452,85040.4624,91919.08130,619
Sonoma140,04170.9257,41329.0882,62841.85197,454
Stanislaus55,31142.2375,65657.77-20,345-15.53130,967
Sutter9,08232.3119,02467.69-9,942-35.3728,106
Tehama5,02424.3515,60775.65-10,583-51.3020,631
Trinity1,86041.092,66758.91-807-17.834,527
Tulare33,27336.4358,05363.57-24,780-27.1391,326
Tuolumne8,47136.4714,75963.53-6,288-27.0723,230
Ventura153,22654.54127,70945.4625,5179.08280,935
Yolo44,32866.0322,80733.9721,52132.0667,135
Yuba6,53433.2813,09766.72-6,563-33.4319,631
Totals6,470,09959.184,462,91040.822,007,18918.3610,933,009
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Newsom won 38 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 14 going to Dahle, including two that elected Democrats.[62]

DistrictNewsomDahleRepresentative
1st33%67%Doug LaMalfa
2nd71%29%Jared Huffman
3rd43%57%Kevin Kiley
4th63%37%Mike Thompson
5th37%63%Tom McClintock
6th54%46%Ami Bera
7th64%36%Doris Matsui
8th74%26%John Garamendi
9th48%52%Josh Harder
10th65%35%Mark DeSaulnier
11th86%14%Nancy Pelosi
12th90%10%Barbara Lee
13th46%54%John Duarte
14th68%32%Eric Swalwell
15th76%24%Jackie Speier (117th Congress)
Kevin Mullin (118th Congress)
16th73%27%Anna Eshoo
17th71%29%Ro Khanna
18th68%32%Zoe Lofgren
19th65%35%Jimmy Panetta
20th30%70%Kevin McCarthy
21st51%49%Jim Costa
22nd48%52%David Valadao
23rd39%61%Jay Obernolte
24th59%41%Salud Carbajal
25th53%47%Raul Ruiz
26th54%46%Julia Brownley
27th49%51%Mike Garcia
28th63%37%Judy Chu
29th73%27%Tony Cárdenas
30th75%25%Adam Schiff
31st58%42%Grace Napolitano
32nd66%34%Brad Sherman
33rd55%45%Pete Aguilar
34th82%18%Jimmy Gomez
35th55%45%Norma Torres
36th67%33%Ted Lieu
37th85%15%Karen Bass (117th Congress)
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (118th Congress)
38th58%42%Linda Sánchez
39th55%45%Mark Takano
40th45%55%Young Kim
41st45%55%Ken Calvert
42nd67%33%Lucille Roybal-Allard (117th Congress)
Robert Garcia (118th Congress)
43rd78%22%Maxine Waters
44th69%31%Nanette Barragán
45th49%51%Michelle Steel
46th60%40%Lou Correa
47th49.7%50.3%Katie Porter
48th38%62%Darrell Issa
49th50.4%49.6%Mike Levin
50th61%39%Scott Peters
51st60%40%Sara Jacobs
52nd63%37%Juan Vargas

Notes

  1. ^ Candidate for San Francisco Board of Supervisors in 1977, 1979, and 2002, candidate for Mayor of San Francisco in 1995, 1999, and 2019, and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ "Neither/Would not vote" with 4%
  5. ^ "Other (write-in)" with 2%
  6. ^ "Would not vote" with 5%
  1. ^ Hanink was listed on the ballot as "no party preference" and listed in the official Voter Information Guide as "no qualified party preference" because the party with which Hanink was registered, the American Solidarity Party, did not have ballot access at the time the ballot was printed.[17][18][19][20]

See also

References

  1. ^ "Bill Text - SB-970 Primary election date".
  2. ^ "California Adopts Vote-by-Mail System for All Future Elections".
  3. ^ "California Governor Primary Election Live Results 2022". NBC News. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  4. ^ Nicole Nixon (November 8, 2022). "Democrat Gavin Newsom sails to reelection as California governor". npr.org. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  5. ^ White, Jeremy B. (January 21, 2022). "What 2022 election? California Republicans grim on beating Newsom". Politico. Retrieved February 17, 2022.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Primary Election - June 7, 2022". Archived from the original on March 26, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  7. ^ Garofoli, Joe (February 7, 2022). "Republican state Sen. Brian Dahle to announce challenge to Gavin Newsom". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved February 8, 2022.
  8. ^ a b "Official Certified List of Write-In Candidates - June 7, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State. May 27, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  9. ^ "FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — GOP GOVERNOR CHALLENGER". Politico. Retrieved March 8, 2022.
  10. ^ "Gubernatorial candidate Anthony Trimino sees himself as a problem solver, not a politician". KUSI. February 5, 2022.
  11. ^ Hearden, Tim (February 11, 2022). "GOP's Sen. Dahle upbeat about bid for governor". Western Farm Press.
  12. ^ White, Jeremy B. (January 4, 2022). "Larry Elder will not run against Newsom in 2022". Politico. Retrieved January 4, 2022.
  13. ^ Brennan, Deborah Sullivan (March 10, 2022). "Kevin Faulconer steps out of governor's race". The San Diego Union-Tribune. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  14. ^ Ross, Martha (February 27, 2021). "California may get Kimberly Guilfoyle back, running for public office". Mercury News. Retrieved August 17, 2021.,
  15. ^ Hansen, BJ (December 29, 2021). "Republican Assemblyman Kiley Running For Eastern Sierra Congressional Seat". My Mother Lode. Retrieved January 4, 2022.,
  16. ^ Rodriguez, Luis (February 2022). "Luis J. Rodriguez is running for California Governor". People's Tribune. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
  17. ^ Spielmann, Cristobal; Backer-Peral, Veronica (May 6, 2021). "Former LMU professor runs for governor in recall election". Los Angeles Loyolan. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
  18. ^ Winger, Richard (August 18, 2021). "California Secretary of State Makes a Tiny Concession to Unqualified Parties in the Official Voter Information Guide". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  19. ^ Black, SaVannah. "Political Body: American Solidarity Party" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved July 20, 2021.
  20. ^ Weber, Shirley. "California Gubernatorial Recall Election Official Voter Information Guide" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
  21. ^ Wyer, Stephen (August 26, 2021). "Reinette Senum takes steps toward running for governor in 2022". The Union.
  22. ^ Laurenzo, Nikki (March 10, 2022). "First on Inside California Politics: Author Michael Shellenberger to challenge Newsom for governor". Fox 40. Retrieved March 10, 2022.
  23. ^ Haber, Matt (October 31, 2019). "Meet the Gubernatorial Candidate Whose Campaign Has One Mission: Attacking Facebook's Fake Political Ads Problem". Inc.com. Retrieved October 28, 2020.
  24. ^ Hampton, Adriel [@adrielhampton] (September 1, 2021). "I declared for California Governor in the fall of 2019 in order to shame Facebook for its political ad practices. Today, I'm formally withdrawing from the 2022 race, and calling on Gavin Newsom to step down as Governor for the good of our state" (Tweet). Archived from the original on September 1, 2021. Retrieved September 4, 2021 – via Twitter.
  25. ^ Mehta, Seema (April 24, 2022). "California GOP endorses Brian Dahle for governor despite controversy over payment to party". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
  26. ^ "American Solidarity Party of California". Retrieved May 27, 2022 – via Facebook.
  27. ^ Carroll, Brian. "Brian Carroll, Commentaries". Retrieved May 31, 2022 – via Facebook.
  28. ^ Maturen, Mike. "Mike Maturen Hfi". Retrieved May 31, 2022 – via Facebook.
  29. ^ "Who did the L.A. Times endorse for 2022?". Los Angeles Times. April 27, 2022. Retrieved May 13, 2022.
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  40. ^ "People's Tribune Endorses Campaign of Luis J. Rodriguez for CA Governor". People's Tribune. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
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  43. ^ "Labor Council for Latin American Advancement - Sacramento AFL- CIO (LCLAA)". Retrieved April 15, 2022 – via Facebook.
  44. ^ @losangelespoetsociety (April 27, 2022). "We believe in the People, and the power they carry, especially when they come together. Los Angeles Poet Society is proud to endorse, Luis J. Rodriguez, for Governor of California! He has shown us how the word can liberate, change, and heal people. Our voices make things happen. We believe in the change that could help lots of Californians, and stand with Luis, our Los Angeles Poet Laureate, 2014-2016, a Writer, Poet, Activist, Change Agent. #luisjrodriguez4governor #luisjrodriguez #greenparty #peoplefirst #timeforchange #liberatecaliofornia #lapoetry #lapoets #chicanx #bipoc #indigenous #cagov2022 #luisjrodriguez4california". Retrieved April 30, 2022 – via Instagram.
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  46. ^ "Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC Endorses Michael Shellenberger for Governor". Shellenberger for Governor. April 21, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
  47. ^ Murray, Douglas [@DouglasKMurray] (June 4, 2022). "Great to meet you Michael ⁦@ShellenbergerMD⁩. And good luck with the race for Governor. Rooting for you!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  48. ^ Pinker, Steven [@sapinker] (May 19, 2022). "As a temporary Californian, I endorse Michael Shellenberger @ShellenbergerMD for governor in the upcoming open primary - independent, evidence-driven, non-ideological policies to deal with climate, homelessness, energy, conservation, violent crime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 20, 2022 – via Twitter.
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  58. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  59. ^ "Newsom Agrees to Debate Dahle in Gubernatorial Forum at KQED". KQED. Archived from the original on October 23, 2022. Retrieved October 23, 2022.
  60. ^ "General Election - Statement of the Vote, November 8, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  61. ^ "NOVEMBER 8, 2022, GENERAL ELECTION - VOTER PARTICIPATION STATISTICS BY COUNTY" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 19, 2022. Retrieved December 21, 2022.
  62. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).

External links

Official campaign websites